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2024-12-14 10:22:48

China Merchants Securities: Investment Guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year From these four aspects, China Merchants Securities said that the investment guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year mainly include the following aspects: 1) From a macro perspective, the support intensity of policies for various economic work is expected to exceed market expectations. Specifically, the fiscal policy orientation is positive, deficit ratio will arrange or keep it above 3%, the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be further expanded, and the scale and investment field of special bonds are expected to be further extended; Monetary policy mentioned "timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates", and the goal of liquidity policy changed from balance to loose tendency, which will bring room for valuation improvement of A shares. 2) From the perspective of expanding domestic demand, consumption will become the main line of investment next year: the meeting will continue the deployment of the Politburo meeting in December, and in the order of writing, consumption will still be placed at the top of next year's key tasks. In terms of specific measures, it is planned to boost consumption mainly through two aspects. First, increase the income of residents; The second is to increase consumption scenarios. 3) Focus on scientific and technological innovation to lead the development of new quality productive forces, and grasp two main lines: this meeting focused on "carrying out' artificial intelligence+'action and cultivating future industries". Artificial intelligence has appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for three consecutive years. Future industries have also appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for two consecutive years. Therefore, it is recommended to focus on artificial intelligence+and future industries. 4) Focus on "comprehensive improvement of' involution' competition": In terms of "involution" competition, photovoltaic industry is the representative in emerging industries. Recently, in addition to self-regulatory measures such as industry association initiatives, the photovoltaic export tax rebate rate has been lowered and industry norms have been updated to further control new production capacity. The policy is further introduced to curb the "involution" competition of photovoltaics. It is recommended to pay attention to photovoltaic, lithium battery and other industries.Vegetable oil fell by 1.90% on the 13th, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, the main contract vegetable oil closed at 2,505, up or down by -1.90%, with a turnover of 535,800 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 21,545 lots. The total turnover of vegetable oil futures contracts was 593,700 lots, a decrease of 112,100 lots from the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 232,900 lots, a decrease of 3,819 lots from the previous day. The short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 254,200 lots, an increase of 687 lots over the previous day. (Sina Futures)On the 13th, SSE 50 index futures fell by 2.58%, and the latest main contract positions changed as follows. According to the exchange data, as of December 13th, SSE 50 index futures closed at 2,412, up or down by -2.58%, with a turnover of 53,000 lots. The position data showed that the top 20 seats were clear, and the difference position was 7,398 lots. The total number of contracts of SSE 50 index futures was 91,500 lots, an increase of 25,700 lots over the previous day. The first 20 seats in the contract held 88,200 lots, an increase of 2,257 lots over the previous day. The short positions in the top 20 seats of the contract were 113,700 lots, an increase of 1,701 lots over the previous day. (Sina Futures)


China Merchants Securities: Investment Guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year From these four aspects, China Merchants Securities said that the investment guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year mainly include the following aspects: 1) From a macro perspective, the support intensity of policies for various economic work is expected to exceed market expectations. Specifically, the fiscal policy orientation is positive, deficit ratio will arrange or keep it above 3%, the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be further expanded, and the scale and investment field of special bonds are expected to be further extended; Monetary policy mentioned "timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates", and the goal of liquidity policy changed from balance to loose tendency, which will bring room for valuation improvement of A shares. 2) From the perspective of expanding domestic demand, consumption will become the main line of investment next year: the meeting will continue the deployment of the Politburo meeting in December, and in the order of writing, consumption will still be placed at the top of next year's key tasks. In terms of specific measures, it is planned to boost consumption mainly through two aspects. First, increase the income of residents; The second is to increase consumption scenarios. 3) Focus on scientific and technological innovation to lead the development of new quality productive forces, and grasp two main lines: this meeting focused on "carrying out' artificial intelligence+'action and cultivating future industries". Artificial intelligence has appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for three consecutive years. Future industries have also appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for two consecutive years. Therefore, it is recommended to focus on artificial intelligence+and future industries. 4) Focus on "comprehensive improvement of' involution' competition": In terms of "involution" competition, photovoltaic industry is the representative in emerging industries. Recently, in addition to self-regulatory measures such as industry association initiatives, the photovoltaic export tax rebate rate has been lowered and industry norms have been updated to further control new production capacity. The policy is further introduced to curb the "involution" competition of photovoltaics. It is recommended to pay attention to photovoltaic, lithium battery and other industries.Fabian Russell, National Secretary of the French communist party: Call on the new Prime Minister not to use special constitutional power to make new legislation. In this case, we are ready to cooperate with the new Prime Minister Bayrou.Hongxin Electronics: Promote the technical research and development and product supply of folding mobile phone reels with Xiaomi. Hongxin Electronics officially announced today that recently, the 2024 Xiaomi Global Core Supplier Conference was held in Beijing Yanqi Lake International Convention & Exhibition Center. Under the background that Xiaomi's strategy of "people, cars and homes are all ecological" continues to deepen, Hongxin Electronics will closely follow Xiaomi's footsteps, actively expand emerging fields such as home appliances and automobiles, and provide all-round support and services in flexible electronics for Xiaomi's intelligent hardware all-ecological products. At present, in the face of the booming folding mobile phone market, Hongxin Electronics and Xiaomi jointly promote the technology research and development and product supply of folding mobile phone reels. According to reports, in the era of vigorous development of artificial intelligence and digital economy, at present, Hongxin Electronics has deeply laid out frontier fields such as AI mobile phones, AIPC, smart cars, smart homes, smart wearable devices, robots, industrial control, medical care and meta-universe.


The Shanghai 50 index fell more than 2%, and the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index fell 1.8%.Publicity Department of the Communist Party of China Publishing Bureau: The leading plan of online publishing technology innovation is being formulated to promote the game industry to play a greater role in service technology innovation. Yang Fang, deputy director of Publicity Department of the Communist Party of China Publishing Bureau, said at the 2024 China Game Industry Annual Conference that Publicity Department of the Communist Party of China Publishing Bureau is currently working with relevant ministries to jointly formulate the leading plan of online publishing technology innovation to promote the game industry to play a greater role in service technology innovation. In addition, Yang Fang introduced that next year, Publicity Department of the Communist Party of China Publishing Bureau will focus on the online game boutique publishing project, and guide game enterprises to create more classic works that are deeply rooted in people's hearts and have been passed down for a long time.Fabian Russell, National Secretary of the French communist party: Call on the new Prime Minister not to use special constitutional power to make new legislation. In this case, we are ready to cooperate with the new Prime Minister Bayrou.

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